2023 Emmy Predictions for Limited Series & Performances: Matt Roush’s Picks

Emmys
The last year in TV will be awarded four months later than planned when the 2023 Emmy Awards finally take place on Monday, January 15, on Fox.
The 2022 winner for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series, The White Lotus, has been bumped into the Drama Series categories at this year’s ceremony. Now, the series is up against a fellow HBO powerhouse, Succession, in most of the top categories. With The Last of Us also nominated in many categories — and considering the fact that one category (Supporting Actor, Drama) is entirely comprised of White Lotus and Succession stars — it’s clear that no matter who wins, HBO will be victorious.
The limited series categories, however, aren’t dominated by just two shows. Scroll through to see the full list of predicted winners for the Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series and limited series acting categories.
75th Primetime Emmy Awards, Monday, January 15, 8/7c, Fox

Limited Series
Beef, Netflix
Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, Netflix
Daisy Jones & the Six, Amazon Prime
Fleishman Is in Trouble, FX
Obi-Wan Kenobi, Disney+

Not as strong a category as in recent years, and the consensus favorite is Netflix’s Beef, a tragicomic tale of road rage that escalates into an unforgettable and unpredictable character study of race, class and ambition.

Most likely to win:
Beef

Should win:
Beef

Should have been nominated:

Lead Actor, Limited Series/Movie
Taron Egerton, Black Bird
Kumail Nanjiani, Welcome to Chippendales
Evan Peters, Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
Daniel Radcliffe, Weird: The Al Yankovic Story
Michael Shannon, George & Tammy
Steven Yeun, Beef

This is a toss-up. Playing a notorious serial killer like Jeffrey Dahmer is prime Emmy bait, and Ryan Murphy regular Evan Peters is a previous winner (for Mare of Easttown). Daniel Radcliffe and Michael Shannon were each excellent as very different music figures, and Steven Yeun could ride a Beef sweep to a well-deserved win.

Most likely to win:
Evan Peters

Should win:
Steven Yeun

Should have been nominated:

Lead Actress, Limited Series/Movie
Lizzy Caplan, Fleishman Is in Trouble
Jessica Chastain, George & Tammy
Dominique Fishback, Swarm
Kathryn Hahn, Tiny Beautiful Things
Riley Keough, Daisy Jones & the Six
Ali Wong, Beef

Another tough call. Pundits are split between Ali Wong’s breakout performance as the tightly wound anti-heroine of Beef and Jessica Chastain’s pitch-perfect impersonation of Tammy Wynette. And Dominique Fishback was terrifying as Swarm’s murderously obsessed fan girl. But Beef was the year’s buzziest limited series and Wong was a big part of that.

Most likely to win:
Ali Wong

Should win:
Ali Wong

Should have been nominated:
Bel Powley, A Small Light (also Sydney Sweeney, Reality; Rachel Weisz, Dead Ringers)

Supporting Actor, Limited Series/Movie
Murray Bartlett, Welcome to Chippendales
Paul Walter Hauser, Black Bird
Richard Jenkins, Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
Joseph Lee, Beef
Ray Liotta, Black Bird
Young Mazino, Beef
Jesse Plemons, Love & Death

Echoing earlier comments, it’s hard to beat someone playing a creepy serial killer. And as the deceptively meek yet chilling prisoner in
Paul Walter Hauser
Most likely to win:

Should win:
Paul Walter Hauser

Should have been nominated:
Liev Schreiber, A Small Light

Supporting Actress, Limited Series/Movie
Annaleigh Ashford, Welcome to Chippendales
Maria Bello, Beef
Claire Danes, Fleishman Is in Trouble
Juliette Lewis, Welcome to Chippendales
Camila Morrone, Daisy Jones & the Six
Niecy Nash-Betts, Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
Merritt Wever, Tiny Beautiful Things

As Dahmer’s suspicious and outraged neighbor, Niecy Nash-Betts broke out of her usual comedic and/or outrageous shell and is a front-runner in a tough category. Emmy favorite Claire Danes has an equally strong case as Fleishman’s very troubled absentee wife, who broke our heart when we learned her side of the story.

Most likely to win:
Niecy Nash-Betts

Should win:
Claire Danes

Should have been nominated:
Linda Emond, The Patient

Benefits to Registering & Following
Watchlist Easy access to only the shows you care about — all in one simple place
Alerts Only important notifications — when a show is returning, when it becomes available to stream, and more.
Special Offers Exclusive products we release related to your favorite shows and streaming services
(It's free!)
If you are already a member, login here