Fall’s New Shows: Which Could Be Renewed? Which Have Us Worried?
The 2024-2025 TV season is in full swing, bringing with it several new titles for viewers to latch onto, but will all of them succeed?
In today’s TV landscape, ratings can make or break a new show (or even old favorites). While new shows continue to find their audiences, we’re taking a look at how their initial ratings could influence chances for renewal. Ranging from the already-renewed Fox animation series Universal Basic Guys to buzzy early favorites Matlock and High Potential, we’re breaking down everything you need to know so far.
Scroll down for a closer peek at how the new titles stack up.
Universal Basic Guys
Premiered: Sunday, September 8th
Prediction: There isn’t too much to predict as the show’s already been renewed for Season 2.
Universal Basic Guys got off to a strong start on its premiere night wrangling in 4.025 million viewers with a rating of 1.18 among the 18-49 demo, but that is likely due to an NFL lead which also boosted numbers when the third episode aired on September 22nd.
Average (thirteen episodes): 0.49 rating, 1.741 million viewers
The Golden Bachelorette
Premiered: Wednesday, September 18th
Prediction: A renewal is all but imminent for this crowd-pleaser.
The Golden Bachelorette has the benefit of being platformed by a long-adored franchise, and it certainly shows as the series saw fairly consistent increases in viewership over its run with 3.455 million viewers tuning into the finale which was a 26.67 percent increase over the prior week’s ratings.
Average (nine episodes): 0.31 rating, 2.815 million viewers
Matlock
Premiered: Sunday, September 22nd
Prediction: Early buzz and intrigue pointed to a promising future for the series which has since been renewed for Season 2.
Matlock‘s arrival stirred up plenty of attention in its debut, and has remained fairly consistent at retaining its audience all season long.
Average (eight episodes): 0.37 rating, 6.479 million viewers
Rescue: HI-Surf
Premiered: Sunday, September 22nd
Prediction: Things are not looking good for a renewal.
Rescue: HI-Surf‘s debut delivered big numbers following an NFL lead-in with 4.772 million viewers and a 1.11 rating, but that number has dipped majorly, decreasing most weeks with its most recent installment pulling in less than half the amount of viewers with 1.089 million and 0.17 rating.
Average (fourteen episodes): 0.25 rating, 1.996 million viewers
Brilliant Minds
Premiered: Monday, September 23rd
Prediction: It doesn’t look good, but we’re not calling it yet.
Brilliant Minds has delivered somewhat consistent viewership since its premiere, but small dips over the weeks have delivered smaller audiences than were tuning in at the beginning.
Average (thirteen episodes): 0.23 rating, 2.967 million viewers
High Potential
Premiered: Monday, September 23rd
Prediction: As one of Fall TV’s buzzier new shows, our high hopes were rewarded with a Season 2 renewal.
High Potential has arrived with a modest start, the show’s 2.28% viewership increase to 3.675 million between the premiere and second episodes hinted at the potential for growth, which has been seen in viewership for the most part. Upon the show’s midseason reutrn, High Potential saw a 69% increase in viewership over its fall finale with a total of 5.685 million tuning in.
Average (thirteen episodes): 0.36 rating, 4.343 million viewers
Murder in a Small Town
Premiered: Tuesday, September 24th
Prediction: The show delivered a solid audience, leading to a Season 2 renewal.
As far as new shows go, Murder in a Small Town has a small audience, but it’s a consistent one, as the show maintained relatively steady viewership.
Average (eight episodes): 0.18 rating, 1.997 million viewers
Doctor Odyssey
Premiered: Thursday, September 26th
Prediction: Buzz could keep this campy cruiseliner afloat, even if it isn’t the season’s biggest ratings winner.
Doctor Odyssey may not deliver TV’s biggest audiences this fall, but it is stirring up plenty of talk and has seen a recent rise in interest with its midseason finale with an 18.61 percent increase in viewership over the previous installment, delivering an audience of 3.085 million.
Average (eight episodes): 0.29 rating, 3.210 million viewers
The Summit
Premiered: Sunday, September 29th
Prediction: The format works in this show’s favor.
Will The Summit be able to hold on? It’s a little too soon to tell for certain as ratings remained lower but consistent through its run. Can it follow in the footsteps of CBS’s other competition series? Only time will tell.
Average (ten episodes): 0.24 rating, 2.079 million viewers
NCIS: Origins
Premiered: Monday, October 14th
Prediction: The show doesn’t have its flagship’s success, but the franchise name worked in its favor as CBS renewed the series for Season 2.
NCIS: Origins started fairly strong in its debut week, but has dropped on and off in ratings each week since, suggesting that it may take some time for stats on a consistent audience to emerge.
Average (twelve episodes): 0.36 rating, 5.294 million viewers
Georgie & Mandy's First Marriage
Premiered: Thursday, October 17th
Prediction: The series had already been given a full season order at CBS hinting at the strong possibility of a renewal that finally arrived in February 2025.
Georgie & Mandy’s First Marriage follows in the footsteps of two hit comedies and seems to be continuing that streak with the best ratings for a new show this TV season, so far.
Average (ten episodes): 0.44 rating, 6.386 million viewers
Happy's Place
Premiered: Friday, October 18th
Prediction: Reba McEntire is a bonafide hit on NBC, and her long-awaited return to headlining her own scripted show has yielded promising results as the series was renewed for Season 2.
While Happy’s Place may not be the biggest show this season, but it’s comfortably running at the middle of the pack with a consistent set of ratings.
Average (fourteen episodes): 0.28 rating, 3.380 million viewers
Poppa's House
Premiered: Monday, October 21st
Prediction: The father-son team-up at the center of this new CBS comedy is sure to suck in viewers as the season unfolds, but as one of CBS’s yet-to-be-renewed newbies, the outlook isn’t great.
Poppa’s House may have seen a few dips in ratings, but it has maintained a decent audience compared to its fellow freshman series and only time will tell if that will pay off for renewal chances.
Average (eleven episodes): 0.34 rating, 3.480 million viewers
St. Denis Medical
Premiered: Tuesday, November 12th
Prediction: This new comedy has built up its audience since debuting later this past fall, leading to a Season 2 renewal.
This mockumentary comedy from NBC delivers laughs and has a strong cast.
Average (twelve episodes): 0.33 rating, 2.748 million viewers
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