Who's Not Making It Out of That Cave on 'The Walking Dead'? (PHOTOS)

Off With Her Head!

Comics fans have been waiting for this moment since the beginning of Season 10, and it seems sometime in the next seven episodes, they’ll finally get it. In the comics, after gaining her trust, Negan beheads Alpha and brings her head to Rick. Who’ll he deliver her head to on the show, in Rick’s absence? Daryl and/or Carol, most likely.

Carol Peletier

Survival chances: 100 percent

It’s Carol (Melissa McBride). She’s seen in other scenes in the trailer for the second half of the season. Sure, the show could be pulling some trippy stuff and having her hallucinate as she succumbs to a bite wound sustained in the cave, but that’s not likely. She’ll live to deal with the deadly consequences of her impulsiveness.

Daryl Dixon

Survival chances: 100 percent

If there’s any character safer than Carol in the cave, it’s Daryl (Norman Reedus). Not only is he the fan favorite (is “if Daryl dies, we riot” still a thing?), but with Danai Gurira soon to leave, it’s unthinkable that the show would get rid of one of its two remaining Season 1 characters.

Aaron

Survival chances: 80 percent

Aaron (Ross Marquand)’s survival isn’t certain, but it’s probable. Although it might not seem like it because he hasn’t been given many hefty storylines, he’s been around a long time; since mid-Season 5, in fact. If his longevity doesn’t protect him, his ties to Mary/Gamma (Thora Birch) could. That storyline is still ongoing, and it makes little sense to continue it without him.

Jerry

Survival chances: 60 percent

Come on, no one wants to see Jerry (Cooper Andrews) die! It looks like he’s in a sticky situation in the 10B trailer, but the fact that AMC put that moment in the trailer might protect him. Certainly they wouldn’t spoil a huge death in promotional material. Besides, someone needs to react to Ezekiel (Khary Payton) revealing he has cancer, and while Carol will have something to say about it, it’d be better to get the former king’s best friend’s take.

Connie

Survival chances: 50 percent

Unfortunately, it seems like Connie (Lauren Ridloff)’s fate could go either way. Lauren Ridloff was cast in Marvel’s The Eternals, so it’s possible she asked to be written out of the show. It’s hard to fathom the writers getting rid of Connie for any other reason, given how well fans and critics have responded to her. We’re beyond killing off awesome female characters to cause Daryl emotional pain, right?

Magna

Survival chances: 40 percent

Magna (Nadia Hilker) is a favorite in the comics, but she’s been changed for the show… and at times, it’s incredibly hard to like her. Could it be that the writers made her hard to like in order to lessen the blow when she doesn’t survive the cave? Granted, she has unfinished business with Yumiko (Eleanor Matsuura) that might save her here, given how silly the focus on their relationship would be if she died without closure on it. But there are plenty of characters on this show who didn’t have closure with a loved one; Maggie, Rick and Carol among them.

Kelly

Survival chances: 30 percent

Kelly (Angel Theory) seems least likely to emerge from the cave, given her hearing troubles in the early part of the season. That said, the fact that her hearing loss was focused on makes it possible she does make it out of there; the narrative pointing out her progressive hearing loss could be a red herring. If Connie dies, she might sacrifice herself for Kelly — and if Kelly dies, she might sacrifice herself for Connie.